Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$60,573 Vol.
$60,573 Vol.
10 mag 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$60,573 Vol.
$60,573 Vol.
10 mag 2026
53°F or below
$4,227 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,195 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$756 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,711 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$4,226 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$3,003 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$5,035 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$5,829 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$17,492 Vol.
Yes
70-71°F
$8,296 Vol.
No
72°F or higher
$8,802 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$60,573Data di fine
10 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,573Data di fine
10 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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