India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
40°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$72,140 Vol.
$72,140 Vol.
16 apr 2026
37°C or below
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$72,140 Vol.
$72,140 Vol.
16 apr 2026
37°C or below
$3,527 Vol.
No
38°C
$7,094 Vol.
No
39°C
$12,143 Vol.
No
40°C
$12,965 Vol.
Yes
41°C
$12,931 Vol.
No
42°C
$11,413 Vol.
No
43°C
$5,632 Vol.
No
44°C
$1,960 Vol.
No
45°C
$2,080 Vol.
No
46°C
$1,385 Vol.
No
47°C or higher
$1,010 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$72,140Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,140Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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