India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C in Lucknow on April 16 under clear skies and low relative humidity around 30% in the afternoon, aligning with yesterday's observed high of 39.3°C at the airport observatory, which exceeded normal by 1.1°C. Trader consensus strongly favors 40°C at 78.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent dry northwesterly winds, high solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that have pushed recent peaks slightly above official guidance amid above-normal April heat trends in Uttar Pradesh. No heatwave warning is active, but model consensus and climatological patterns for mid-April support potential for 39–40°C peaks; official readings expected by evening could refine outcomes as afternoon heating unfolds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 16 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 16 aprile?
40°C 71%
39°C 22%
41°C 3.5%
43°C <1%
$37,926 Vol.
$37,926 Vol.
37°C o inferiore
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
22%
40°C
70%
41°C
3%
42°C
<1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C o superiore
1%
40°C 71%
39°C 22%
41°C 3.5%
43°C <1%
$37,926 Vol.
$37,926 Vol.
37°C o inferiore
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
22%
40°C
70%
41°C
3%
42°C
<1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C in Lucknow on April 16 under clear skies and low relative humidity around 30% in the afternoon, aligning with yesterday's observed high of 39.3°C at the airport observatory, which exceeded normal by 1.1°C. Trader consensus strongly favors 40°C at 78.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent dry northwesterly winds, high solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that have pushed recent peaks slightly above official guidance amid above-normal April heat trends in Uttar Pradesh. No heatwave warning is active, but model consensus and climatological patterns for mid-April support potential for 39–40°C peaks; official readings expected by evening could refine outcomes as afternoon heating unfolds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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