The India Meteorological Department's latest bulletin, dated April 17, forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 19 under clear skies, following observed highs of 39°C on April 17 and 40°C on April 18. Yet trader consensus prices 42°C highest at 47.5% implied probability and 43°C at 32%, reflecting persistent pre-monsoon heating patterns, regional heatwave conditions across northwest India extending to April 20, and gradual 2-3°C rises noted in national updates. Clear skies enhance solar insolation and radiative warming in dry continental air, elevating peaks above seasonal norms of 38-39°C, though model uncertainty around afternoon maxima keeps outcomes clustered; watch IMD's evening observational data for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 19?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 19?
42°C 48%
43°C 31%
41°C 16%
40°C or below 5.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 apr 2026
40°C or below
6%
41°C
16%
42°C
48%
43°C
31%
44°C
6%
45°C
2%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
1%
50°C or higher
<1%
42°C 48%
43°C 31%
41°C 16%
40°C or below 5.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 apr 2026
40°C or below
$718 Vol.
6%
41°C
$649 Vol.
16%
42°C
$365 Vol.
48%
43°C
$341 Vol.
31%
44°C
$775 Vol.
6%
45°C
$510 Vol.
2%
46°C
$1,279 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$1,546 Vol.
1%
50°C or higher
$917 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department's latest bulletin, dated April 17, forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 19 under clear skies, following observed highs of 39°C on April 17 and 40°C on April 18. Yet trader consensus prices 42°C highest at 47.5% implied probability and 43°C at 32%, reflecting persistent pre-monsoon heating patterns, regional heatwave conditions across northwest India extending to April 20, and gradual 2-3°C rises noted in national updates. Clear skies enhance solar insolation and radiative warming in dry continental air, elevating peaks above seasonal norms of 38-39°C, though model uncertainty around afternoon maxima keeps outcomes clustered; watch IMD's evening observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$8,134Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department's latest bulletin, dated April 17, forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 19 under clear skies, following observed highs of 39°C on April 17 and 40°C on April 18. Yet trader consensus prices 42°C highest at 47.5% implied probability and 43°C at 32%, reflecting persistent pre-monsoon heating patterns, regional heatwave conditions across northwest India extending to April 20, and gradual 2-3°C rises noted in national updates. Clear skies enhance solar insolation and radiative warming in dry continental air, elevating peaks above seasonal norms of 38-39°C, though model uncertainty around afternoon maxima keeps outcomes clustered; watch IMD's evening observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,134Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The India Meteorological Department's latest bulletin, dated April 17, forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 19 under clear skies, following observed highs of 39°C on April 17 and 40°C on April 18. Yet trader consensus prices 42°C highest at 47.5% implied probability and 43°C at 32%, reflecting persistent pre-monsoon heating patterns, regional heatwave conditions across northwest India extending to April 20, and gradual 2-3°C rises noted in national updates. Clear skies enhance solar insolation and radiative warming in dry continental air, elevating peaks above seasonal norms of 38-39°C, though model uncertainty around afternoon maxima keeps outcomes clustered; watch IMD's evening observational data for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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