Traders assign near-certainty to a June 3 high of 41 °C or below in Lucknow because official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts show a maximum of 38.8 °C, about 1.4 °C below normal, with afternoon readings expected to peak near 39–40 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of light drizzle. Early-June climatology places average daily highs around 38–39 °C, and current steering patterns plus modest moisture keep intensification unlikely. The market-implied odds therefore align with the latest model consensus and real-time measurements rather than any historical extreme. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift in the steering flow or rapid clearing that allows stronger insolation could push readings above 41 °C before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 3?
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$14,368 Vol.
$14,368 Vol.
3 giu 2026
41°C or below
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C or higher
No
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$14,368 Vol.
$14,368 Vol.
3 giu 2026
41°C or below
$5,462 Vol.
Yes
42°C
$3,773 Vol.
No
43°C
$2,215 Vol.
No
44°C
$823 Vol.
No
45°C
$442 Vol.
No
46°C
$268 Vol.
No
47°C
$268 Vol.
No
48°C
$270 Vol.
No
49°C
$270 Vol.
No
50°C
$268 Vol.
No
51°C or higher
$309 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a June 3 high of 41 °C or below in Lucknow because official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts show a maximum of 38.8 °C, about 1.4 °C below normal, with afternoon readings expected to peak near 39–40 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of light drizzle. Early-June climatology places average daily highs around 38–39 °C, and current steering patterns plus modest moisture keep intensification unlikely. The market-implied odds therefore align with the latest model consensus and real-time measurements rather than any historical extreme. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift in the steering flow or rapid clearing that allows stronger insolation could push readings above 41 °C before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$14,368Data di fine
3 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a June 3 high of 41 °C or below in Lucknow because official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts show a maximum of 38.8 °C, about 1.4 °C below normal, with afternoon readings expected to peak near 39–40 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of light drizzle. Early-June climatology places average daily highs around 38–39 °C, and current steering patterns plus modest moisture keep intensification unlikely. The market-implied odds therefore align with the latest model consensus and real-time measurements rather than any historical extreme. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift in the steering flow or rapid clearing that allows stronger insolation could push readings above 41 °C before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,368Data di fine
3 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Traders assign near-certainty to a June 3 high of 41 °C or below in Lucknow because official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts show a maximum of 38.8 °C, about 1.4 °C below normal, with afternoon readings expected to peak near 39–40 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of light drizzle. Early-June climatology places average daily highs around 38–39 °C, and current steering patterns plus modest moisture keep intensification unlikely. The market-implied odds therefore align with the latest model consensus and real-time measurements rather than any historical extreme. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift in the steering flow or rapid clearing that allows stronger insolation could push readings above 41 °C before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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