Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 1?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,378 Vol.
$111,378 Vol.
1 lug 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,378 Vol.
$111,378 Vol.
1 lug 2026
24°C or below
$7,086 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,354 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,750 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,431 Vol.
No
28°C
$26,261 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,784 Vol.
No
30°C
$14,422 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,423 Vol.
No
32°C
$14,946 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,478 Vol.
Yes
34°C or higher
$11,443 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$111,378Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$111,378Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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