The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 4 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 4 luglio?
34°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,830 Vol.
$68,830 Vol.
4 lug 2026
26°C o inferiore
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Sì
35°C
No
36°C o superiore
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,830 Vol.
$68,830 Vol.
4 lug 2026
26°C o inferiore
$2,978 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,218 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,785 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,823 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,337 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,302 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,217 Vol.
No
33°C
$16,282 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,442 Vol.
Sì
35°C
$9,368 Vol.
No
36°C o superiore
$5,079 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$68,830Data di fine
4 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$68,830Data di fine
4 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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