Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 28?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$163,890 Vol.
$163,890 Vol.
28 giu 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$163,890 Vol.
$163,890 Vol.
28 giu 2026
32°C or below
$15,415 Vol.
No
33°C
$13,421 Vol.
No
34°C
$20,671 Vol.
No
35°C
$37,123 Vol.
No
36°C
$39,250 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$20,804 Vol.
No
38°C
$9,799 Vol.
No
39°C
$2,591 Vol.
No
40°C
$2,761 Vol.
No
41°C
$1,188 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$867 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$163,890Data di fine
28 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$163,890Data di fine
28 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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