**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 9 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 9 luglio?
33°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$42,529 Vol.
$42,529 Vol.
9 lug 2026
26°C o inferiore
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Sì
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C o superiore
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$42,529 Vol.
$42,529 Vol.
9 lug 2026
26°C o inferiore
$1,782 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,570 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,080 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,361 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,483 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,319 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,537 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,011 Vol.
Sì
34°C
$4,214 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,488 Vol.
No
36°C o superiore
$1,685 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$42,529Data di fine
9 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,529Data di fine
9 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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