Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Manila on June 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 23?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$24,546 Vol.
$24,546 Vol.
23 giu 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$24,546 Vol.
$24,546 Vol.
23 giu 2026
28°C or below
$277 Vol.
No
29°C
$183 Vol.
No
30°C
$797 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,978 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,121 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$3,458 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,840 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,320 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,110 Vol.
No
37°C
$278 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$186 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$24,546Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,546Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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