Recent forecasts from Mexican meteorological authorities and global models point to persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and afternoon thunderstorms suppressing maximum temperatures in Mexico City on August 24, with official guidance centering on a 23–25 °C range amid the summer rainy season. High elevation (approximately 2,240 m) and orographic lift enhance convective activity, while thick stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime warming compared to clearer climatological baselines. Minor differences among 19–22 °C outcomes hinge on precise timing of precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate evaporative cooling versus insolation. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical August variability, where brief clear spells can add 2–3 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 24 agosto?
20°C 40%
21°C 32%
19°C 14%
17°C 10%
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
8%
19°C
14%
20°C
40%
21°C
32%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C o superiore
1%
20°C 40%
21°C 32%
19°C 14%
17°C 10%
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
8%
19°C
14%
20°C
40%
21°C
32%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Mexican meteorological authorities and global models point to persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and afternoon thunderstorms suppressing maximum temperatures in Mexico City on August 24, with official guidance centering on a 23–25 °C range amid the summer rainy season. High elevation (approximately 2,240 m) and orographic lift enhance convective activity, while thick stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime warming compared to clearer climatological baselines. Minor differences among 19–22 °C outcomes hinge on precise timing of precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate evaporative cooling versus insolation. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical August variability, where brief clear spells can add 2–3 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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