Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 24 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 24 giugno?
21°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$101,836 Vol.
$101,836 Vol.
24 giu 2026
18°C o inferiore
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Sì
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
21°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$101,836 Vol.
$101,836 Vol.
24 giu 2026
18°C o inferiore
$211 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,962 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,383 Vol.
No
21°C
$54,382 Vol.
Sì
22°C
$12,954 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,501 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,668 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,865 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,833 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,888 Vol.
No
28°C o superiore
$188 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 22, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
Volume
$101,836Data di fine
24 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 10:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$101,836Data di fine
24 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 10:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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