Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 24–27°C in Mexico City on May 24, aligning with the late-May climatological average of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating at the city's high elevation, and minimal cloud cover typical of the dry season. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 23°C or higher, as regional data show limited day-to-day variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharp, unseasonal cold front could realistically push the high below that level before official resolution by CONAGUA measurements at the Tacubaya station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 24?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 24?
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$10,113 Vol.
$10,113 Vol.
24 mag 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$10,113 Vol.
$10,113 Vol.
24 mag 2026
13°C or below
$225 Vol.
No
14°C
$225 Vol.
No
15°C
$288 Vol.
No
16°C
$394 Vol.
No
17°C
$391 Vol.
No
18°C
$402 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,286 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,155 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,202 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,997 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$1,548 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 24–27°C in Mexico City on May 24, aligning with the late-May climatological average of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating at the city's high elevation, and minimal cloud cover typical of the dry season. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 23°C or higher, as regional data show limited day-to-day variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharp, unseasonal cold front could realistically push the high below that level before official resolution by CONAGUA measurements at the Tacubaya station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$10,113Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 24–27°C in Mexico City on May 24, aligning with the late-May climatological average of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating at the city's high elevation, and minimal cloud cover typical of the dry season. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 23°C or higher, as regional data show limited day-to-day variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharp, unseasonal cold front could realistically push the high below that level before official resolution by CONAGUA measurements at the Tacubaya station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,113Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 24–27°C in Mexico City on May 24, aligning with the late-May climatological average of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating at the city's high elevation, and minimal cloud cover typical of the dry season. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 23°C or higher, as regional data show limited day-to-day variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharp, unseasonal cold front could realistically push the high below that level before official resolution by CONAGUA measurements at the Tacubaya station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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