Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward a Milan high temperature near 24°C on April 18, with tight market-implied odds reflecting minimal spread in model outputs amid a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy fostering ample insolation and light southerly winds. Recent 48-hour model updates show convergence on partly cloudy to sunny conditions boosting daytime boundary layer heating, pushing above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C, though no major synoptic shifts occurred in the past day. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development favoring 23°C, baseline clear skies at 24-25°C, or enhanced subsidence for 26°C; urban heat island effects at Milano Linate station add microscale uncertainty. Watch 12z updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
24°C 29%
25°C 24%
23°C 21%
26°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
10%
23°C
21%
24°C
29%
25°C
24%
26°C
12%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 29%
25°C 24%
23°C 21%
26°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
18°C or below
$976 Vol.
1%
19°C
$799 Vol.
1%
20°C
$977 Vol.
1%
21°C
$468 Vol.
1%
22°C
$665 Vol.
10%
23°C
$409 Vol.
21%
24°C
$207 Vol.
29%
25°C
$224 Vol.
24%
26°C
$215 Vol.
12%
27°C
$208 Vol.
3%
28°C or higher
$179 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward a Milan high temperature near 24°C on April 18, with tight market-implied odds reflecting minimal spread in model outputs amid a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy fostering ample insolation and light southerly winds. Recent 48-hour model updates show convergence on partly cloudy to sunny conditions boosting daytime boundary layer heating, pushing above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C, though no major synoptic shifts occurred in the past day. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development favoring 23°C, baseline clear skies at 24-25°C, or enhanced subsidence for 26°C; urban heat island effects at Milano Linate station add microscale uncertainty. Watch 12z updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$5,320Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward a Milan high temperature near 24°C on April 18, with tight market-implied odds reflecting minimal spread in model outputs amid a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy fostering ample insolation and light southerly winds. Recent 48-hour model updates show convergence on partly cloudy to sunny conditions boosting daytime boundary layer heating, pushing above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C, though no major synoptic shifts occurred in the past day. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development favoring 23°C, baseline clear skies at 24-25°C, or enhanced subsidence for 26°C; urban heat island effects at Milano Linate station add microscale uncertainty. Watch 12z updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,320Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward a Milan high temperature near 24°C on April 18, with tight market-implied odds reflecting minimal spread in model outputs amid a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy fostering ample insolation and light southerly winds. Recent 48-hour model updates show convergence on partly cloudy to sunny conditions boosting daytime boundary layer heating, pushing above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C, though no major synoptic shifts occurred in the past day. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development favoring 23°C, baseline clear skies at 24-25°C, or enhanced subsidence for 26°C; urban heat island effects at Milano Linate station add microscale uncertainty. Watch 12z updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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