Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on April 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 26?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,609 Vol.
$68,609 Vol.
26 apr 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,609 Vol.
$68,609 Vol.
26 apr 2026
19°C or below
$909 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,033 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,858 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,870 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,636 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,469 Vol.
No
25°C
$18,654 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$10,267 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,444 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,801 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$5,668 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$68,609Data di fine
26 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68,609Data di fine
26 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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