Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport station—the authoritative resolution source for this market—recorded a highest temperature of 21°C on May 1, 2026, driving the 100% trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with verified hourly METAR data showing daytime peaks under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds aiding mild heating, and subsidence suppressing further intensification amid typical early May climatology for northern Italy (historical Milan highs average 20–22°C). Sunny conditions prevailed with no convective activity, matching pre-event model consensus from ECMWF and Italian meteorological services forecasting capped highs around 21°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control by ARPA Lombardia or Aeronautica Militare, though such adjustments are rare for established airport readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 1?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$54,758 Vol.
$54,758 Vol.
1 mag 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$54,758 Vol.
$54,758 Vol.
1 mag 2026
14°C or below
$533 Vol.
No
15°C
$260 Vol.
No
16°C
$370 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,595 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,320 Vol.
No
19°C
$12,033 Vol.
No
20°C
$9,143 Vol.
No
21°C
$10,030 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$7,340 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,449 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$3,684 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport station—the authoritative resolution source for this market—recorded a highest temperature of 21°C on May 1, 2026, driving the 100% trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with verified hourly METAR data showing daytime peaks under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds aiding mild heating, and subsidence suppressing further intensification amid typical early May climatology for northern Italy (historical Milan highs average 20–22°C). Sunny conditions prevailed with no convective activity, matching pre-event model consensus from ECMWF and Italian meteorological services forecasting capped highs around 21°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control by ARPA Lombardia or Aeronautica Militare, though such adjustments are rare for established airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volume
$54,758Data di fine
1 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport station—the authoritative resolution source for this market—recorded a highest temperature of 21°C on May 1, 2026, driving the 100% trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with verified hourly METAR data showing daytime peaks under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds aiding mild heating, and subsidence suppressing further intensification amid typical early May climatology for northern Italy (historical Milan highs average 20–22°C). Sunny conditions prevailed with no convective activity, matching pre-event model consensus from ECMWF and Italian meteorological services forecasting capped highs around 21°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control by ARPA Lombardia or Aeronautica Militare, though such adjustments are rare for established airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$54,758Data di fine
1 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport station—the authoritative resolution source for this market—recorded a highest temperature of 21°C on May 1, 2026, driving the 100% trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with verified hourly METAR data showing daytime peaks under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, light southerly winds aiding mild heating, and subsidence suppressing further intensification amid typical early May climatology for northern Italy (historical Milan highs average 20–22°C). Sunny conditions prevailed with no convective activity, matching pre-event model consensus from ECMWF and Italian meteorological services forecasting capped highs around 21°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control by ARPA Lombardia or Aeronautica Militare, though such adjustments are rare for established airport readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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