Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 26 aprile?
9°C 100.0%
7°C o inferiore <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$143,931 Vol.
$143,931 Vol.
7°C o inferiore
No
8°C
No
9°C
Sì
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o superiore
No
9°C 100.0%
7°C o inferiore <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$143,931 Vol.
$143,931 Vol.
7°C o inferiore
No
8°C
No
9°C
Sì
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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