Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on June 18 indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under a cool, moist air mass with periods of cloud cover and showers, aligning with the market's leading contracts at those levels. Numerical weather prediction models show limited diurnal warming due to northerly flow and precipitation, keeping highs below the early-June climatological average of roughly 20°C. Traders have priced modest upside risk into 17°C and 18°C outcomes based on potential model shifts or clearer skies, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of significant warming or colder anomalies given current observational data and ensemble guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$44,811 Vol.
$44,811 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$44,811 Vol.
$44,811 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on June 18 indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under a cool, moist air mass with periods of cloud cover and showers, aligning with the market's leading contracts at those levels. Numerical weather prediction models show limited diurnal warming due to northerly flow and precipitation, keeping highs below the early-June climatological average of roughly 20°C. Traders have priced modest upside risk into 17°C and 18°C outcomes based on potential model shifts or clearer skies, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of significant warming or colder anomalies given current observational data and ensemble guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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