Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and Munich Airport weather station confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 10, measured via standardized 2-meter thermometers during routine hourly reporting, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time data finalized overnight. Cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds capped daytime heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model outputs from prior days that projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Absent rare post hoc revisions from additional stations—such as urban heat island discrepancies or instrument recalibrations—this positioning reflects settled meteorological evidence, rendering 24°C or higher outcomes negligible given the observed peak aligned precisely with market thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Munich on May 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 10?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,099 Vol.
$73,099 Vol.
10 mag 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,099 Vol.
$73,099 Vol.
10 mag 2026
15°C or below
$4,104 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,519 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,525 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,532 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,331 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,073 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,179 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,257 Vol.
No
23°C
$14,246 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$9,165 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$7,168 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and Munich Airport weather station confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 10, measured via standardized 2-meter thermometers during routine hourly reporting, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time data finalized overnight. Cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds capped daytime heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model outputs from prior days that projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Absent rare post hoc revisions from additional stations—such as urban heat island discrepancies or instrument recalibrations—this positioning reflects settled meteorological evidence, rendering 24°C or higher outcomes negligible given the observed peak aligned precisely with market thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$73,099Data di fine
10 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and Munich Airport weather station confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 10, measured via standardized 2-meter thermometers during routine hourly reporting, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time data finalized overnight. Cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds capped daytime heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model outputs from prior days that projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Absent rare post hoc revisions from additional stations—such as urban heat island discrepancies or instrument recalibrations—this positioning reflects settled meteorological evidence, rendering 24°C or higher outcomes negligible given the observed peak aligned precisely with market thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,099Data di fine
10 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and Munich Airport weather station confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 10, measured via standardized 2-meter thermometers during routine hourly reporting, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time data finalized overnight. Cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds capped daytime heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model outputs from prior days that projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Absent rare post hoc revisions from additional stations—such as urban heat island discrepancies or instrument recalibrations—this positioning reflects settled meteorological evidence, rendering 24°C or higher outcomes negligible given the observed peak aligned precisely with market thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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