**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.** Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th. Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 18?
40°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$58,126 Vol.
$58,126 Vol.
18 giu 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$58,126 Vol.
$58,126 Vol.
18 giu 2026
32°C or below
$626 Vol.
No
33°C
$796 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,207 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,649 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,768 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,817 Vol.
No
38°C
$6,349 Vol.
No
39°C
$12,222 Vol.
No
40°C
$9,916 Vol.
Yes
41°C
$5,939 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$9,837 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.**
Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th.
Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$58,126Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.**
Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th.
Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,126Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.** Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th. Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti