**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on July 2 centers on 35–37°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble forecast spread and typical subtropical summer variability.** Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to highs near 34°C under cloudy, thundery conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon, with afternoon showers limiting daytime heating. Historical climatology shows early-July averages of 31–33°C, yet recent late-June warmth and variable steering patterns allow for brief intensification to 36°C or higher if convection is suppressed. Key differentiators among the tightly bunched probabilities include model disagreement on cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. New short-range model runs and observational updates expected within 48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 2 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 2 luglio?
36°C 100.0%
28°C o inferiore <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$146,606 Vol.
$146,606 Vol.
2 lug 2026
28°C o inferiore
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Sì
37°C
No
38°C o superiore
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C o inferiore <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$146,606 Vol.
$146,606 Vol.
2 lug 2026
28°C o inferiore
$2,991 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,388 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,292 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,353 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,707 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,926 Vol.
No
34°C
$24,113 Vol.
No
35°C
$11,885 Vol.
No
36°C
$28,288 Vol.
Sì
37°C
$23,661 Vol.
No
38°C o superiore
$21,000 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on July 2 centers on 35–37°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble forecast spread and typical subtropical summer variability.** Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to highs near 34°C under cloudy, thundery conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon, with afternoon showers limiting daytime heating. Historical climatology shows early-July averages of 31–33°C, yet recent late-June warmth and variable steering patterns allow for brief intensification to 36°C or higher if convection is suppressed. Key differentiators among the tightly bunched probabilities include model disagreement on cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. New short-range model runs and observational updates expected within 48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$146,606Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on July 2 centers on 35–37°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble forecast spread and typical subtropical summer variability.** Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to highs near 34°C under cloudy, thundery conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon, with afternoon showers limiting daytime heating. Historical climatology shows early-July averages of 31–33°C, yet recent late-June warmth and variable steering patterns allow for brief intensification to 36°C or higher if convection is suppressed. Key differentiators among the tightly bunched probabilities include model disagreement on cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. New short-range model runs and observational updates expected within 48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$146,606Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on July 2 centers on 35–37°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble forecast spread and typical subtropical summer variability.** Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to highs near 34°C under cloudy, thundery conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon, with afternoon showers limiting daytime heating. Historical climatology shows early-July averages of 31–33°C, yet recent late-June warmth and variable steering patterns allow for brief intensification to 36°C or higher if convection is suppressed. Key differentiators among the tightly bunched probabilities include model disagreement on cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. New short-range model runs and observational updates expected within 48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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