**Trader consensus centers on 26–28°C as the most likely maximum for Busan on July 3, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models that place the city under the influence of the North Pacific high with a nearby monsoon front.** Coastal sea breezes and typical early-July humidity are expected to cap daytime peaks near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C, while any organized rain would further suppress the maximum. Recent guidance shows no strong heatwave signal for the date, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ low and supporting the market’s tight clustering around the mid-to-upper 20s. Updated short-range runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models in the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Busan on July 3?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 3?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$50,888 Vol.
$50,888 Vol.
3 lug 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$50,888 Vol.
$50,888 Vol.
3 lug 2026
22°C or below
$4,543 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,602 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,636 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,848 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,659 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,823 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,129 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$4,992 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,939 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,270 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,449 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 26–28°C as the most likely maximum for Busan on July 3, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models that place the city under the influence of the North Pacific high with a nearby monsoon front.** Coastal sea breezes and typical early-July humidity are expected to cap daytime peaks near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C, while any organized rain would further suppress the maximum. Recent guidance shows no strong heatwave signal for the date, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ low and supporting the market’s tight clustering around the mid-to-upper 20s. Updated short-range runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models in the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$50,888Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 26–28°C as the most likely maximum for Busan on July 3, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models that place the city under the influence of the North Pacific high with a nearby monsoon front.** Coastal sea breezes and typical early-July humidity are expected to cap daytime peaks near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C, while any organized rain would further suppress the maximum. Recent guidance shows no strong heatwave signal for the date, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ low and supporting the market’s tight clustering around the mid-to-upper 20s. Updated short-range runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models in the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,888Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus centers on 26–28°C as the most likely maximum for Busan on July 3, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models that place the city under the influence of the North Pacific high with a nearby monsoon front.** Coastal sea breezes and typical early-July humidity are expected to cap daytime peaks near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C, while any organized rain would further suppress the maximum. Recent guidance shows no strong heatwave signal for the date, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ low and supporting the market’s tight clustering around the mid-to-upper 20s. Updated short-range runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models in the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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