Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park (KNYC) recorded a high temperature of 55°F or below on April 22, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models, which projected daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent cool northerly flow, marine stratus clouds, and light rain that inhibited solar heating despite typical late-April climatological averages near 62°F. A recent upper-level trough over the Northeast followed mid-month warmth, including 90°F records around April 15, enforcing these subdued conditions. Barring rare data corrections, NWS measurements provide definitive resolution authority.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on April 22?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 22?
55°F or below 100.0%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$167,820 Vol.
$167,820 Vol.
22 apr 2026
55°F or below
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
55°F or below 100.0%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$167,820 Vol.
$167,820 Vol.
22 apr 2026
55°F or below
$42,792 Vol.
Yes
56-57°F
$18,091 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$25,027 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$25,763 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$13,602 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$10,117 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$9,500 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$5,376 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$5,296 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,058 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$8,199 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park (KNYC) recorded a high temperature of 55°F or below on April 22, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models, which projected daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent cool northerly flow, marine stratus clouds, and light rain that inhibited solar heating despite typical late-April climatological averages near 62°F. A recent upper-level trough over the Northeast followed mid-month warmth, including 90°F records around April 15, enforcing these subdued conditions. Barring rare data corrections, NWS measurements provide definitive resolution authority.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$167,820Data di fine
22 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park (KNYC) recorded a high temperature of 55°F or below on April 22, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models, which projected daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent cool northerly flow, marine stratus clouds, and light rain that inhibited solar heating despite typical late-April climatological averages near 62°F. A recent upper-level trough over the Northeast followed mid-month warmth, including 90°F records around April 15, enforcing these subdued conditions. Barring rare data corrections, NWS measurements provide definitive resolution authority.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$167,820Data di fine
22 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park (KNYC) recorded a high temperature of 55°F or below on April 22, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models, which projected daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent cool northerly flow, marine stratus clouds, and light rain that inhibited solar heating despite typical late-April climatological averages near 62°F. A recent upper-level trough over the Northeast followed mid-month warmth, including 90°F records around April 15, enforcing these subdued conditions. Barring rare data corrections, NWS measurements provide definitive resolution authority.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti