Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 3?
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$49,429 Vol.
$49,429 Vol.
3 mag 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$49,429 Vol.
$49,429 Vol.
3 mag 2026
47°F or below
$1,946 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,128 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,052 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$1,660 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$2,878 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,817 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$5,356 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$7,918 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$10,074 Vol.
Yes
64-65°F
$9,100 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$5,500 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Volume
$49,429Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:49 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,429Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:49 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti