Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C for Shanghai’s July 11 high, reflecting the latest ensemble model runs from global and regional centers that project daytime maxima in this narrow band under persistent subtropical high pressure. Early-July conditions in the Yangtze River Delta typically feature humid air masses with limited diurnal cooling, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and modest variability from any weak convective cells or steering-flow adjustments. Historical analogs and July climatology center near 31°C, while current model spread supports the tight probability distribution across 30–33°C outcomes; fresh guidance updates over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria tied to the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the reference meteorological site.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai l'11 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai l'11 luglio?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$133,819 Vol.
$133,819 Vol.
11 lug 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$133,819 Vol.
$133,819 Vol.
11 lug 2026
26°C or below
$676 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,873 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,678 Vol.
No
29°C
$19,640 Vol.
No
30°C
$19,862 Vol.
No
31°C
$28,890 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$18,972 Vol.
No
33°C
$15,045 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,991 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,855 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$5,337 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C for Shanghai’s July 11 high, reflecting the latest ensemble model runs from global and regional centers that project daytime maxima in this narrow band under persistent subtropical high pressure. Early-July conditions in the Yangtze River Delta typically feature humid air masses with limited diurnal cooling, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and modest variability from any weak convective cells or steering-flow adjustments. Historical analogs and July climatology center near 31°C, while current model spread supports the tight probability distribution across 30–33°C outcomes; fresh guidance updates over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria tied to the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the reference meteorological site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$133,819Data di fine
11 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C for Shanghai’s July 11 high, reflecting the latest ensemble model runs from global and regional centers that project daytime maxima in this narrow band under persistent subtropical high pressure. Early-July conditions in the Yangtze River Delta typically feature humid air masses with limited diurnal cooling, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and modest variability from any weak convective cells or steering-flow adjustments. Historical analogs and July climatology center near 31°C, while current model spread supports the tight probability distribution across 30–33°C outcomes; fresh guidance updates over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria tied to the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the reference meteorological site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$133,819Data di fine
11 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C for Shanghai’s July 11 high, reflecting the latest ensemble model runs from global and regional centers that project daytime maxima in this narrow band under persistent subtropical high pressure. Early-July conditions in the Yangtze River Delta typically feature humid air masses with limited diurnal cooling, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and modest variability from any weak convective cells or steering-flow adjustments. Historical analogs and July climatology center near 31°C, while current model spread supports the tight probability distribution across 30–33°C outcomes; fresh guidance updates over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria tied to the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the reference meteorological site.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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