Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on July 2, 2026, point to a daytime maximum near 32°C under the East Asian summer monsoon regime, with scattered afternoon convection and high humidity (75–85%) limiting radiative heating. Persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity typical of the season’s peak have kept recent daily highs in the 31–33°C range through late June, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering flows introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the closely bunched 32–34°C outcomes. Model spread in timing and coverage of showers explains the market’s relatively flat distribution across these values, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside historical early-July norms of 30–34°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 2 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 2 luglio?
33°C 100.0%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$89,113 Vol.
$89,113 Vol.
2 lug 2026
27°C o inferiore
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Sì
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C o superiore
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$89,113 Vol.
$89,113 Vol.
2 lug 2026
27°C o inferiore
$4,892 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,389 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,201 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,917 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,366 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,849 Vol.
No
33°C
$25,158 Vol.
Sì
34°C
$7,869 Vol.
No
35°C
$15,213 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,229 Vol.
No
37°C o superiore
$6,031 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on July 2, 2026, point to a daytime maximum near 32°C under the East Asian summer monsoon regime, with scattered afternoon convection and high humidity (75–85%) limiting radiative heating. Persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity typical of the season’s peak have kept recent daily highs in the 31–33°C range through late June, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering flows introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the closely bunched 32–34°C outcomes. Model spread in timing and coverage of showers explains the market’s relatively flat distribution across these values, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside historical early-July norms of 30–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$89,113Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on July 2, 2026, point to a daytime maximum near 32°C under the East Asian summer monsoon regime, with scattered afternoon convection and high humidity (75–85%) limiting radiative heating. Persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity typical of the season’s peak have kept recent daily highs in the 31–33°C range through late June, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering flows introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the closely bunched 32–34°C outcomes. Model spread in timing and coverage of showers explains the market’s relatively flat distribution across these values, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside historical early-July norms of 30–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89,113Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on July 2, 2026, point to a daytime maximum near 32°C under the East Asian summer monsoon regime, with scattered afternoon convection and high humidity (75–85%) limiting radiative heating. Persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity typical of the season’s peak have kept recent daily highs in the 31–33°C range through late June, while urban heat-island effects and variable steering flows introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the closely bunched 32–34°C outcomes. Model spread in timing and coverage of showers explains the market’s relatively flat distribution across these values, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside historical early-July norms of 30–34°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti