Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) confirm the daily maximum temperature reached 32°C on May 5 amid persistent afternoon thundery showers, driving trader consensus to a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. NEA advisories highlighted increased convective activity in the early May inter-monsoon period, with cloud cover and 48.5 mm rainfall suppressing solar heating below recent April peaks of 35.5°C at stations like Paya Lebar. Historical May climatology shows daily highs clustering around 31–33°C, aligning with this positioning. Realistic challenges include a late data revision from peripheral stations like Admiralty (peaking near 35°C midday but moderated), though final NEA validations rarely shift post-initial reports; expect climate bulletin confirmation by mid-month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Singapore on May 5?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,055 Vol.
$111,055 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,055 Vol.
$111,055 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) confirm the daily maximum temperature reached 32°C on May 5 amid persistent afternoon thundery showers, driving trader consensus to a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. NEA advisories highlighted increased convective activity in the early May inter-monsoon period, with cloud cover and 48.5 mm rainfall suppressing solar heating below recent April peaks of 35.5°C at stations like Paya Lebar. Historical May climatology shows daily highs clustering around 31–33°C, aligning with this positioning. Realistic challenges include a late data revision from peripheral stations like Admiralty (peaking near 35°C midday but moderated), though final NEA validations rarely shift post-initial reports; expect climate bulletin confirmation by mid-month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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