Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature hitting exactly 33°C on April 22, anchored by real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, where the mercury peaked at 33°C mid-afternoon amid dominant high-pressure ridging and dry air mass. Subsequent hourly readings show a steady decline with rising humidity, southerly sea breezes, and solar angle reduction limiting further intensification as evening approaches. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from CWA and ECMWF ensembles projecting a 32–34°C cap based on recent heat dome persistence over East Asia. Realistic challenges include rare post-sunset data revisions from outlying sensors or an improbable nocturnal heat burst, though sunset nears resolution with final CWA daily bulletin expected shortly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 22?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 22?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$145,279 Vol.
$145,279 Vol.
22 apr 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$145,279 Vol.
$145,279 Vol.
22 apr 2026
26°C or below
$2,841 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,780 Vol.
No
28°C
$14,524 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,335 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,154 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,392 Vol.
No
32°C
$12,846 Vol.
No
33°C
$40,863 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$15,928 Vol.
No
35°C
$14,886 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$12,730 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature hitting exactly 33°C on April 22, anchored by real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, where the mercury peaked at 33°C mid-afternoon amid dominant high-pressure ridging and dry air mass. Subsequent hourly readings show a steady decline with rising humidity, southerly sea breezes, and solar angle reduction limiting further intensification as evening approaches. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from CWA and ECMWF ensembles projecting a 32–34°C cap based on recent heat dome persistence over East Asia. Realistic challenges include rare post-sunset data revisions from outlying sensors or an improbable nocturnal heat burst, though sunset nears resolution with final CWA daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 20, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volume
$145,279Data di fine
22 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 20, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature hitting exactly 33°C on April 22, anchored by real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, where the mercury peaked at 33°C mid-afternoon amid dominant high-pressure ridging and dry air mass. Subsequent hourly readings show a steady decline with rising humidity, southerly sea breezes, and solar angle reduction limiting further intensification as evening approaches. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from CWA and ECMWF ensembles projecting a 32–34°C cap based on recent heat dome persistence over East Asia. Realistic challenges include rare post-sunset data revisions from outlying sensors or an improbable nocturnal heat burst, though sunset nears resolution with final CWA daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$145,279Data di fine
22 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 20, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature hitting exactly 33°C on April 22, anchored by real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, where the mercury peaked at 33°C mid-afternoon amid dominant high-pressure ridging and dry air mass. Subsequent hourly readings show a steady decline with rising humidity, southerly sea breezes, and solar angle reduction limiting further intensification as evening approaches. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from CWA and ECMWF ensembles projecting a 32–34°C cap based on recent heat dome persistence over East Asia. Realistic challenges include rare post-sunset data revisions from outlying sensors or an improbable nocturnal heat burst, though sunset nears resolution with final CWA daily bulletin expected shortly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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