Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced 30°C or higher at virtually 100% for Taipei's highest temperature today, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations and forecasts showing daytime highs of 30–32°C under partly clear skies with only 10% precipitation risk. Current readings near 26–28°C at Songshan Airport station, combined with warmer-than-average spring conditions (February–April averages 1.1°C above normal), support sustained heating into the afternoon peak. Model consensus from CWA guidance aligns on this trajectory, reflecting low cloud cover and light winds favoring temperatures well above 29°C. Realistic challenges would require sudden showers or thickening clouds to cap peaks below 30°C, though hourly updates indicate minimal such risk; final CWA Songshan max resolves the market by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 29?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,252 Vol.
$36,252 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,252 Vol.
$36,252 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced 30°C or higher at virtually 100% for Taipei's highest temperature today, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations and forecasts showing daytime highs of 30–32°C under partly clear skies with only 10% precipitation risk. Current readings near 26–28°C at Songshan Airport station, combined with warmer-than-average spring conditions (February–April averages 1.1°C above normal), support sustained heating into the afternoon peak. Model consensus from CWA guidance aligns on this trajectory, reflecting low cloud cover and light winds favoring temperatures well above 29°C. Realistic challenges would require sudden showers or thickening clouds to cap peaks below 30°C, though hourly updates indicate minimal such risk; final CWA Songshan max resolves the market by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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