Current numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 1° luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 1° luglio?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$189,075 Vol.
$189,075 Vol.
1 lug 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$189,075 Vol.
$189,075 Vol.
1 lug 2026
29°C or below
$19,433 Vol.
No
30°C
$15,789 Vol.
No
31°C
$22,775 Vol.
No
32°C
$21,455 Vol.
No
33°C
$17,016 Vol.
No
34°C
$16,977 Vol.
No
35°C
$21,873 Vol.
No
36°C
$14,748 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$9,926 Vol.
No
38°C
$9,412 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$19,672 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$189,075Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$189,075Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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