Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei Songshan Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 peaked at 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the day concluded. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, linked to nearby Tropical Storm Hagupit—which posed no direct threat but enhanced moisture and suppressed solar heating—prevented typical May highs around 28–29°C seen in historical climatological data. Verified hourly measurements provide strong evidence, with evening readings dropping to 20°C under partly cloudy skies. Realistic challenges are minimal, requiring an improbable CWA data revision; final daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 9?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$112,534 Vol.
$112,534 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$112,534 Vol.
$112,534 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei Songshan Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 peaked at 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the day concluded. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, linked to nearby Tropical Storm Hagupit—which posed no direct threat but enhanced moisture and suppressed solar heating—prevented typical May highs around 28–29°C seen in historical climatological data. Verified hourly measurements provide strong evidence, with evening readings dropping to 20°C under partly cloudy skies. Realistic challenges are minimal, requiring an improbable CWA data revision; final daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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