Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 41% implied probability for a 33°C high in Tel Aviv on April 17, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling an unseasonably hot early-spring heatwave across Israel, as confirmed by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) advisories. Recent IMS guidance projects coastal highs up to 30°C with dry conditions and strong subsidence promoting clear skies and solar heating, yet global models like GFS and ECMWF suggest potential peaks of 32–34°C amid minimal sea breeze moderation at Ben Gurion Airport, the market's NOAA resolution site. Yesterday's 36°C forecast realization and prior days' extremes have traders hedging above official estimates, with uncertainty tied to afternoon cloud development; monitor hourly METAR observations for shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
33°C 41%
34°C 28%
32°C 26%
31°C 9.0%
$51,499 Vol.
$51,499 Vol.
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
9%
32°C
26%
33°C
41%
34°C
28%
35°C or higher
5%
33°C 41%
34°C 28%
32°C 26%
31°C 9.0%
$51,499 Vol.
$51,499 Vol.
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
9%
32°C
26%
33°C
41%
34°C
28%
35°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 41% implied probability for a 33°C high in Tel Aviv on April 17, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling an unseasonably hot early-spring heatwave across Israel, as confirmed by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) advisories. Recent IMS guidance projects coastal highs up to 30°C with dry conditions and strong subsidence promoting clear skies and solar heating, yet global models like GFS and ECMWF suggest potential peaks of 32–34°C amid minimal sea breeze moderation at Ben Gurion Airport, the market's NOAA resolution site. Yesterday's 36°C forecast realization and prior days' extremes have traders hedging above official estimates, with uncertainty tied to afternoon cloud development; monitor hourly METAR observations for shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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