The market consensus favoring 31°C as the most likely high for Tel Aviv on July 5 aligns with established July climatology, where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide consistent moderation that rarely allows extremes above 33°C or below 29°C this early in the month. Recent extended-range guidance from models shows stable conditions with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heat dome or upper-level trough to shift temperatures notably. Traders therefore assign low implied odds to outliers, reflecting both historical frequency and the narrow forecast spread two days ahead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 5 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 5 luglio?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$36,175 Vol.
$36,175 Vol.
5 lug 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$36,175 Vol.
$36,175 Vol.
5 lug 2026
27°C or below
$1,887 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,969 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,987 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,322 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,761 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$6,598 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,264 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,259 Vol.
No
35°C
$675 Vol.
No
36°C
$236 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$216 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus favoring 31°C as the most likely high for Tel Aviv on July 5 aligns with established July climatology, where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide consistent moderation that rarely allows extremes above 33°C or below 29°C this early in the month. Recent extended-range guidance from models shows stable conditions with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heat dome or upper-level trough to shift temperatures notably. Traders therefore assign low implied odds to outliers, reflecting both historical frequency and the narrow forecast spread two days ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$36,175Data di fine
5 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus favoring 31°C as the most likely high for Tel Aviv on July 5 aligns with established July climatology, where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide consistent moderation that rarely allows extremes above 33°C or below 29°C this early in the month. Recent extended-range guidance from models shows stable conditions with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heat dome or upper-level trough to shift temperatures notably. Traders therefore assign low implied odds to outliers, reflecting both historical frequency and the narrow forecast spread two days ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,175Data di fine
5 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The market consensus favoring 31°C as the most likely high for Tel Aviv on July 5 aligns with established July climatology, where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide consistent moderation that rarely allows extremes above 33°C or below 29°C this early in the month. Recent extended-range guidance from models shows stable conditions with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heat dome or upper-level trough to shift temperatures notably. Traders therefore assign low implied odds to outliers, reflecting both historical frequency and the narrow forecast spread two days ahead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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