Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 17 morning, projects a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 18 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk (10% morning only, reliability B), driven by persistent high pressure over the Kanto region promoting sunny conditions and above-normal spring warmth. However, trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C at 36.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C (25%) and 22°C (23%), reflecting recent observations of 21°C on April 16 and 22°C on April 15—mild but consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 19-20°C—along with inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging model ensembles. Lower odds for 23°C or higher (9.4%) account for potential cooling from increased cloud cover or weak fronts; monitor evening JMA updates for refinements ahead of Tokyo station observations resolving the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 18 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 18 aprile?
21°C 37%
20°C 25%
22°C 24%
19°C 12%
NUOVO
$13,280 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,280 Vol.
18 apr 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
12%
20°C
25%
21°C
37%
22°C
24%
23°C or higher
9%
21°C 37%
20°C 25%
22°C 24%
19°C 12%
NUOVO
$13,280 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,280 Vol.
18 apr 2026
13°C or below
$1,580 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,793 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,018 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$760 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,042 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,336 Vol.
12%
20°C
$537 Vol.
25%
21°C
$671 Vol.
37%
22°C
$757 Vol.
24%
23°C or higher
$1,253 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 17 morning, projects a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 18 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk (10% morning only, reliability B), driven by persistent high pressure over the Kanto region promoting sunny conditions and above-normal spring warmth. However, trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C at 36.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C (25%) and 22°C (23%), reflecting recent observations of 21°C on April 16 and 22°C on April 15—mild but consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 19-20°C—along with inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging model ensembles. Lower odds for 23°C or higher (9.4%) account for potential cooling from increased cloud cover or weak fronts; monitor evening JMA updates for refinements ahead of Tokyo station observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$13,280Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 17 morning, projects a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 18 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk (10% morning only, reliability B), driven by persistent high pressure over the Kanto region promoting sunny conditions and above-normal spring warmth. However, trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C at 36.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C (25%) and 22°C (23%), reflecting recent observations of 21°C on April 16 and 22°C on April 15—mild but consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 19-20°C—along with inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging model ensembles. Lower odds for 23°C or higher (9.4%) account for potential cooling from increased cloud cover or weak fronts; monitor evening JMA updates for refinements ahead of Tokyo station observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,280Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 17 morning, projects a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 18 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk (10% morning only, reliability B), driven by persistent high pressure over the Kanto region promoting sunny conditions and above-normal spring warmth. However, trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C at 36.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C (25%) and 22°C (23%), reflecting recent observations of 21°C on April 16 and 22°C on April 15—mild but consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 19-20°C—along with inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging model ensembles. Lower odds for 23°C or higher (9.4%) account for potential cooling from increased cloud cover or weak fronts; monitor evening JMA updates for refinements ahead of Tokyo station observations resolving the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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