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Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?

apr 17

apr 18

apr 19

apr 17

apr 18

apr 19

18°C 29%

19°C 22%

17°C 20%

20°C 11%

Polymarket
NUOVO

$16,931 Vol.

18°C 29%

19°C 22%

17°C 20%

20°C 11%

Polymarket
NUOVO

$16,931 Vol.

11°C or below

$4,446 Vol.

<1%

12°C

$2,489 Vol.

<1%

13°C

$895 Vol.

1%

14°C

$648 Vol.

3%

15°C

$729 Vol.

4%

16°C

$868 Vol.

7%

17°C

$702 Vol.

20%

18°C

$957 Vol.

29%

19°C

$795 Vol.

22%

20°C

$2,341 Vol.

11%

21°C or higher

$2,074 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution station, projects a high near 20°C on April 18 amid cloudy conditions and 70% chance of showers, but trader consensus clusters around 17-19°C (implied probabilities 20.5-17.0%) due to model divergences—Weather Network ensembles lean cooler at 16°C with heavier rain (~10 mm)—reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover timing and diurnal heating. Recent observations show overnight lows at 11°C with showers tapering after yesterday's 18°C high, moderated by a weak low-pressure system and northerly winds. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 19-20°C outcomes versus persistent overcast capping at 17°C; watch this afternoon's updated GEM regional model runs for shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,931
Data di fine
18 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution station, projects a high near 20°C on April 18 amid cloudy conditions and 70% chance of showers, but trader consensus clusters around 17-19°C (implied probabilities 20.5-17.0%) due to model divergences—Weather Network ensembles lean cooler at 16°C with heavier rain (~10 mm)—reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover timing and diurnal heating. Recent observations show overnight lows at 11°C with showers tapering after yesterday's 18°C high, moderated by a weak low-pressure system and northerly winds. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 19-20°C outcomes versus persistent overcast capping at 17°C; watch this afternoon's updated GEM regional model runs for shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,931
Data di fine
18 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Domande frequenti

"Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "18°C" a 28%, seguito da "19°C" a 22%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 28¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?" ha generato $16.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 16, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?" è "18°C" a 28%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "19°C" a 22%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.