Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 26 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 26 aprile?
11°C 100.0%
4°C o meno <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$68,525 Vol.
$68,525 Vol.
26 apr 2026
4°C o meno
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Sì
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C o superiore
No
11°C 100.0%
4°C o meno <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$68,525 Vol.
$68,525 Vol.
26 apr 2026
4°C o meno
$736 Vol.
No
5°C
$2,141 Vol.
No
6°C
$1,181 Vol.
No
7°C
$1,318 Vol.
No
8°C
$7,138 Vol.
No
9°C
$10,991 Vol.
No
10°C
$10,495 Vol.
No
11°C
$13,202 Vol.
Sì
12°C
$10,376 Vol.
No
13°C
$6,035 Vol.
No
14°C o superiore
$4,912 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$68,525Data di fine
26 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68,525Data di fine
26 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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