MetService's latest forecast for Wellington International Airport Station, the market's resolution source, pins today's maximum temperature at 17°C under fine conditions with light winds, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Current early-morning observations show temperatures around 9–10°C with clear skies, aligning with model runs expecting a gradual warmup to mid-teens without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. April climatology supports this, with Wellington's average highs near 17°C amid a settled high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include unexpected northerly gusts accelerating warming to 18°C or persistent low cloud capping it below, though updated hourly observations from MetService throughout the day will refine this as the market nears close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 26?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$84,730 Vol.
$84,730 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$84,730 Vol.
$84,730 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
MetService's latest forecast for Wellington International Airport Station, the market's resolution source, pins today's maximum temperature at 17°C under fine conditions with light winds, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Current early-morning observations show temperatures around 9–10°C with clear skies, aligning with model runs expecting a gradual warmup to mid-teens without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. April climatology supports this, with Wellington's average highs near 17°C amid a settled high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include unexpected northerly gusts accelerating warming to 18°C or persistent low cloud capping it below, though updated hourly observations from MetService throughout the day will refine this as the market nears close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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