Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 5?
18°C 100.0%
11°C o meno <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$250,697 Vol.
$250,697 Vol.
5 giu 2026
11°C o meno
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sì
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
11°C o meno <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$250,697 Vol.
$250,697 Vol.
5 giu 2026
11°C o meno
$8,352 Vol.
No
12°C
$6,636 Vol.
No
13°C
$15,830 Vol.
No
14°C
$26,429 Vol.
No
15°C
$37,914 Vol.
No
16°C
$54,861 Vol.
No
17°C
$46,504 Vol.
No
18°C
$18,100 Vol.
Sì
19°C
$16,227 Vol.
No
20°C
$9,983 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$9,861 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$250,697Data di fine
5 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$250,697Data di fine
5 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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