Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan highlights mid-July East Asian monsoon moisture and convective activity as the dominant influences on July 18 maximum temperatures, with model consensus pointing to afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover that can cap daytime highs by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–33 °C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from storm timing and intensity keeps the 29–32 °C outcomes tightly bunched in trader sentiment. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push readings toward 33 °C, while stronger convective development favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated regional model runs and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 18 luglio?
31°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,833 Vol.
$74,833 Vol.
25°C o inferiore
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Sì
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C o superiore
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,833 Vol.
$74,833 Vol.
25°C o inferiore
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Sì
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan highlights mid-July East Asian monsoon moisture and convective activity as the dominant influences on July 18 maximum temperatures, with model consensus pointing to afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover that can cap daytime highs by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–33 °C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from storm timing and intensity keeps the 29–32 °C outcomes tightly bunched in trader sentiment. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push readings toward 33 °C, while stronger convective development favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated regional model runs and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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