Latest meteorological guidance from regional models and official Chinese weather services has converged on a daily maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on May 23, driving the market’s near-certain pricing on that outcome. Afternoon conditions featuring modest cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm activity are expected to limit further heating, consistent with the subtropical ridge’s influence and typical May climatology around 30°C. The Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station serves as the official measurement point, where urban heat-island effects add only minor upward bias. Any shift in steering winds or convective timing could still allow a brief excursion to 30°C or higher before resolution, underscoring residual forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 23?
29°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,595 Vol.
$36,595 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,595 Vol.
$36,595 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Latest meteorological guidance from regional models and official Chinese weather services has converged on a daily maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on May 23, driving the market’s near-certain pricing on that outcome. Afternoon conditions featuring modest cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm activity are expected to limit further heating, consistent with the subtropical ridge’s influence and typical May climatology around 30°C. The Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station serves as the official measurement point, where urban heat-island effects add only minor upward bias. Any shift in steering winds or convective timing could still allow a brief excursion to 30°C or higher before resolution, underscoring residual forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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