Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted, show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party at approximately 53% of the popular vote versus Fidesz-KDNP's 38%, delivering a margin exceeding 14 percentage points and a projected supermajority of 138 seats. Record turnout near 80% reflected voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid economic woes, corruption perceptions, and crumbling infrastructure, propelling Tisza's unified opposition campaign. Orbán's swift concession cemented trader consensus on the 9%+ Tisza victory, as pro-Fidesz diaspora ballots—though favorable—cannot close the gap. Recounts or legal disputes would require implausible irregularities to challenge this outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTisza oltre il 9% 99.1%
Tisza 6-9% <1%
Fidesz-KDNP oltre il 9% <1%
Tisza 3-6% <1%
$3,519,667 Vol.
$3,519,667 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Tisza oltre il 9%
99%
Tisza 6-9%
<1%
Tisza 3-6%
<1%
Tisza 0-3%
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 0-3%
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 3-6%
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 6-9%
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP oltre il 9%
<1%
Altro
<1%
Tisza oltre il 9% 99.1%
Tisza 6-9% <1%
Fidesz-KDNP oltre il 9% <1%
Tisza 3-6% <1%
$3,519,667 Vol.
$3,519,667 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Tisza oltre il 9%
$946,779 Vol.
99%
Tisza 6-9%
$186,074 Vol.
<1%
Tisza 3-6%
$164,687 Vol.
<1%
Tisza 0-3%
$167,632 Vol.
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 0-3%
$237,232 Vol.
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 3-6%
$249,930 Vol.
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 6-9%
$663,982 Vol.
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP oltre il 9%
$789,020 Vol.
<1%
Altro
$114,345 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted, show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party at approximately 53% of the popular vote versus Fidesz-KDNP's 38%, delivering a margin exceeding 14 percentage points and a projected supermajority of 138 seats. Record turnout near 80% reflected voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid economic woes, corruption perceptions, and crumbling infrastructure, propelling Tisza's unified opposition campaign. Orbán's swift concession cemented trader consensus on the 9%+ Tisza victory, as pro-Fidesz diaspora ballots—though favorable—cannot close the gap. Recounts or legal disputes would require implausible irregularities to challenge this outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Mercato aperto: Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Volume
$3,519,667Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted, show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party at approximately 53% of the popular vote versus Fidesz-KDNP's 38%, delivering a margin exceeding 14 percentage points and a projected supermajority of 138 seats. Record turnout near 80% reflected voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid economic woes, corruption perceptions, and crumbling infrastructure, propelling Tisza's unified opposition campaign. Orbán's swift concession cemented trader consensus on the 9%+ Tisza victory, as pro-Fidesz diaspora ballots—though favorable—cannot close the gap. Recounts or legal disputes would require implausible irregularities to challenge this outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Volume
$3,519,667Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted, show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party at approximately 53% of the popular vote versus Fidesz-KDNP's 38%, delivering a margin exceeding 14 percentage points and a projected supermajority of 138 seats. Record turnout near 80% reflected voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid economic woes, corruption perceptions, and crumbling infrastructure, propelling Tisza's unified opposition campaign. Orbán's swift concession cemented trader consensus on the 9%+ Tisza victory, as pro-Fidesz diaspora ballots—though favorable—cannot close the gap. Recounts or legal disputes would require implausible irregularities to challenge this outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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