Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, reflecting preliminary National Election Commission data showing a record 77.8% participation by polls' close at 6:30 p.m., surpassing the prior 2002 high of 70.5%. This surge stems from intense mobilization in the fiercely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, which secured a parliamentary majority amid voter enthusiasm over EU relations, economic pressures, and democratic shifts after 16 years of Fidesz dominance. Final certified figures from the National Election Office, expected soon, underpin the pricing; significant downward revision would require rare counting discrepancies or invalid ballot adjustments, while upward spikes to 80%+ remain possible but slim given historical caps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato77–80% 97.2%
80%+ 1.0%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,316,516 Vol.
$1,316,516 Vol.

<65%
<1%

65–68%
<1%

68–71%
<1%

71–74%
<1%

74–77%
<1%

77–80%
97%

80%+
1%
77–80% 97.2%
80%+ 1.0%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,316,516 Vol.
$1,316,516 Vol.

<65%
<1%

65–68%
<1%

68–71%
<1%

71–74%
<1%

74–77%
<1%

77–80%
97%

80%+
1%
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercato aperto: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, reflecting preliminary National Election Commission data showing a record 77.8% participation by polls' close at 6:30 p.m., surpassing the prior 2002 high of 70.5%. This surge stems from intense mobilization in the fiercely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, which secured a parliamentary majority amid voter enthusiasm over EU relations, economic pressures, and democratic shifts after 16 years of Fidesz dominance. Final certified figures from the National Election Office, expected soon, underpin the pricing; significant downward revision would require rare counting discrepancies or invalid ballot adjustments, while upward spikes to 80%+ remain possible but slim given historical caps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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