Skip to main content
Market icon

Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026

Market icon

Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026

77–80% 97.2%

80%+ 1.0%

74–77% <1%

<65% <1%

Polymarket

$1,316,516 Vol.

77–80% 97.2%

80%+ 1.0%

74–77% <1%

<65% <1%

Polymarket

$1,316,516 Vol.

La partecipazione degli elettori sarà inferiore al 65% alle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

<65%

$94,991 Vol.

<1%

L'affluenza degli elettori sarà tra il 65 e il 68% alle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

65–68%

$55,417 Vol.

<1%

L'affluenza degli elettori sarà tra il 68% e il 71% nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

68–71%

$135,631 Vol.

<1%

L'affluenza degli elettori sarà tra il 71% e il 74% nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

71–74%

$131,916 Vol.

<1%

L'affluenza degli elettori sarà tra il 74 e il 77% alle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

74–77%

$276,436 Vol.

<1%

L'affluenza degli elettori sarà tra il 77 e l'80% alle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

77–80%

$245,217 Vol.

97%

L'affluenza degli elettori supererà l'80% nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

80%+

$376,908 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, reflecting preliminary National Election Commission data showing a record 77.8% participation by polls' close at 6:30 p.m., surpassing the prior 2002 high of 70.5%. This surge stems from intense mobilization in the fiercely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, which secured a parliamentary majority amid voter enthusiasm over EU relations, economic pressures, and democratic shifts after 16 years of Fidesz dominance. Final certified figures from the National Election Office, expected soon, underpin the pricing; significant downward revision would require rare counting discrepancies or invalid ballot adjustments, while upward spikes to 80%+ remain possible but slim given historical caps.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,316,516
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, reflecting preliminary National Election Commission data showing a record 77.8% participation by polls' close at 6:30 p.m., surpassing the prior 2002 high of 70.5%. This surge stems from intense mobilization in the fiercely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, which secured a parliamentary majority amid voter enthusiasm over EU relations, economic pressures, and democratic shifts after 16 years of Fidesz dominance. Final certified figures from the National Election Office, expected soon, underpin the pricing; significant downward revision would require rare counting discrepancies or invalid ballot adjustments, while upward spikes to 80%+ remain possible but slim given historical caps.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,316,516
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "77–80%" a 97%, seguito da "80%+" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 97¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026" ha generato $1.3 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 13, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026" è "77–80%" a 97%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "80%+" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.