**Trader consensus on the low odds of JD Vance leaving the vice presidency by late 2026 reflects his entrenched position as President Trump’s leading 2028 heir apparent.** Recent reporting shows Trump shifting from pitting Vance against Secretary of State Marco Rubio toward endorsing Vance’s performance, with insiders noting improved White House sentiment after Vance’s role in Iran diplomacy and strong polling among Republicans. Midterm election dynamics, where Vance is actively supporting GOP congressional efforts, further anchor his role through November 2026. Internal party criticism and staff departures have surfaced, yet no procedural steps, public statements, or confirmed conflicts indicate an imminent exit. Key upcoming catalysts include post-midterm family and political planning discussions, though structural factors like incumbency and Trump’s current backing limit near-term removal risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJD Vance come vicepresidente di...?
JD Vance come vicepresidente di...?
$241,271 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
6%
$241,271 Vol.
31 dicembre
$149,963 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on the low odds of JD Vance leaving the vice presidency by late 2026 reflects his entrenched position as President Trump’s leading 2028 heir apparent.** Recent reporting shows Trump shifting from pitting Vance against Secretary of State Marco Rubio toward endorsing Vance’s performance, with insiders noting improved White House sentiment after Vance’s role in Iran diplomacy and strong polling among Republicans. Midterm election dynamics, where Vance is actively supporting GOP congressional efforts, further anchor his role through November 2026. Internal party criticism and staff departures have surfaced, yet no procedural steps, public statements, or confirmed conflicts indicate an imminent exit. Key upcoming catalysts include post-midterm family and political planning discussions, though structural factors like incumbency and Trump’s current backing limit near-term removal risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$241,271Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on the low odds of JD Vance leaving the vice presidency by late 2026 reflects his entrenched position as President Trump’s leading 2028 heir apparent.** Recent reporting shows Trump shifting from pitting Vance against Secretary of State Marco Rubio toward endorsing Vance’s performance, with insiders noting improved White House sentiment after Vance’s role in Iran diplomacy and strong polling among Republicans. Midterm election dynamics, where Vance is actively supporting GOP congressional efforts, further anchor his role through November 2026. Internal party criticism and staff departures have surfaced, yet no procedural steps, public statements, or confirmed conflicts indicate an imminent exit. Key upcoming catalysts include post-midterm family and political planning discussions, though structural factors like incumbency and Trump’s current backing limit near-term removal risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$241,271Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus on the low odds of JD Vance leaving the vice presidency by late 2026 reflects his entrenched position as President Trump’s leading 2028 heir apparent.** Recent reporting shows Trump shifting from pitting Vance against Secretary of State Marco Rubio toward endorsing Vance’s performance, with insiders noting improved White House sentiment after Vance’s role in Iran diplomacy and strong polling among Republicans. Midterm election dynamics, where Vance is actively supporting GOP congressional efforts, further anchor his role through November 2026. Internal party criticism and staff departures have surfaced, yet no procedural steps, public statements, or confirmed conflicts indicate an imminent exit. Key upcoming catalysts include post-midterm family and political planning discussions, though structural factors like incumbency and Trump’s current backing limit near-term removal risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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