Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve Board governor extends through January 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader attention centers on whether political pressures, including prior calls for removal and an unresolved headquarters construction probe, could prompt an earlier exit before the statutory date. Recent FOMC communications and administration statements on monetary policy independence shape expectations, as any vacancy would require Senate confirmation and potentially alter the board's composition ahead of key economic data releases. Market-implied odds price in the low probability of near-term departure given the fixed term structure, though shifts in fiscal policy or regulatory scrutiny remain swing factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$432,390 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
25%
$432,390 Vol.
31 dicembre
$145,799 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve Board governor extends through January 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader attention centers on whether political pressures, including prior calls for removal and an unresolved headquarters construction probe, could prompt an earlier exit before the statutory date. Recent FOMC communications and administration statements on monetary policy independence shape expectations, as any vacancy would require Senate confirmation and potentially alter the board's composition ahead of key economic data releases. Market-implied odds price in the low probability of near-term departure given the fixed term structure, though shifts in fiscal policy or regulatory scrutiny remain swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercato aperto: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$432,390Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve Board governor extends through January 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader attention centers on whether political pressures, including prior calls for removal and an unresolved headquarters construction probe, could prompt an earlier exit before the statutory date. Recent FOMC communications and administration statements on monetary policy independence shape expectations, as any vacancy would require Senate confirmation and potentially alter the board's composition ahead of key economic data releases. Market-implied odds price in the low probability of near-term departure given the fixed term structure, though shifts in fiscal policy or regulatory scrutiny remain swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$432,390Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve Board governor extends through January 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader attention centers on whether political pressures, including prior calls for removal and an unresolved headquarters construction probe, could prompt an earlier exit before the statutory date. Recent FOMC communications and administration statements on monetary policy independence shape expectations, as any vacancy would require Senate confirmation and potentially alter the board's composition ahead of key economic data releases. Market-implied odds price in the low probability of near-term departure given the fixed term structure, though shifts in fiscal policy or regulatory scrutiny remain swing factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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