Elvis Smylie's recent breakout victory on LIV debut and strong early-season results have elevated his implied probability in this large-field, no-cut stroke-play event at Trump National Bedminster, while Phil Mickelson's extensive course familiarity and past major pedigree keep him closely bunched despite limited 2026 appearances. Joaquin Niemann and Cameron Smith benefit from consistent recent form and prior Bedminster success, respectively, amid a deep roster where home-course advantages, rest factors, and variable weather can shift outcomes. The tight clustering around the top group reflects the league's overall parity, with multiple players posting comparable scoring averages on similar layouts and no single dominant recent trend separating the frontrunners ahead of the August 6-9 start.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElvis Smylie 36.2%
Phil Mickelson 34.5%
Joaquin Niemann 20%
Cameron Smith 18.0%
Elvis Smylie
36%
Phil Mickelson
34%
Joaquin Niemann
20%
Cameron Smith
18%
Carlos Ortiz
18%
David Puig
18%
Marc Leishman
18%
Thomas Detry
17%
Dean Burmester
17%
Jose Luis Ballester
17%
Abraham Ancer
17%
Byeong-Hun An
17%
Sebastian Munoz
17%
Thomas Pieters
17%
Yosuke Asaji
17%
Charl Schwartzel
17%
Ian Poulter
17%
Matthew Wolff
17%
Miguel Tabuena
17%
Michael La Sasso
17%
Peter Uihlein
17%
Richard Bland
17%
Adrian Meronk
17%
Richard T. Lee
16%
Tom McKibbin
16%
Bjoern Hellgren
16%
Travis Smyth
16%
Victor Perez
16%
Jason Kokrak
16%
Dustin Johnson
16%
Louis Oosthuizen
16%
Cameron Tringale
16%
Sergio Garcia
16%
Danny Lee
16%
Do-Yeob Mun
16%
Harold Varner III
16%
Scott Vincent
16%
Paul Casey
16%
Young-Han Song
16%
Anthony Kim
16%
Branden Grace
16%
Brendan Steele
16%
Bubba Watson
16%
Laurie Canter
16%
Lee Westwood
16%
Luis Masaveu
16%
Martin Vorster
16%
Caleb Surratt
15%
Graeme McDowell
15%
Martin Kaymer
15%
Talor Gooch
15%
Anirban Lahiri
11%
Jon Rahm
11%
Lucas Herbert
11%
Min-Kyu Kim
11%
Charles Howell III
11%
Bryson DeChambeau
10%
Sam Horsfield
9%
Ben Campbell
9%
Tyrrell Hatton
8%
Elvis Smylie 36.2%
Phil Mickelson 34.5%
Joaquin Niemann 20%
Cameron Smith 18.0%
Elvis Smylie
36%
Phil Mickelson
34%
Joaquin Niemann
20%
Cameron Smith
18%
Carlos Ortiz
18%
David Puig
18%
Marc Leishman
18%
Thomas Detry
17%
Dean Burmester
17%
Jose Luis Ballester
17%
Abraham Ancer
17%
Byeong-Hun An
17%
Sebastian Munoz
17%
Thomas Pieters
17%
Yosuke Asaji
17%
Charl Schwartzel
17%
Ian Poulter
17%
Matthew Wolff
17%
Miguel Tabuena
17%
Michael La Sasso
17%
Peter Uihlein
17%
Richard Bland
17%
Adrian Meronk
17%
Richard T. Lee
16%
Tom McKibbin
16%
Bjoern Hellgren
16%
Travis Smyth
16%
Victor Perez
16%
Jason Kokrak
16%
Dustin Johnson
16%
Louis Oosthuizen
16%
Cameron Tringale
16%
Sergio Garcia
16%
Danny Lee
16%
Do-Yeob Mun
16%
Harold Varner III
16%
Scott Vincent
16%
Paul Casey
16%
Young-Han Song
16%
Anthony Kim
16%
Branden Grace
16%
Brendan Steele
16%
Bubba Watson
16%
Laurie Canter
16%
Lee Westwood
16%
Luis Masaveu
16%
Martin Vorster
16%
Caleb Surratt
15%
Graeme McDowell
15%
Martin Kaymer
15%
Talor Gooch
15%
Anirban Lahiri
11%
Jon Rahm
11%
Lucas Herbert
11%
Min-Kyu Kim
11%
Charles Howell III
11%
Bryson DeChambeau
10%
Sam Horsfield
9%
Ben Campbell
9%
Tyrrell Hatton
8%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.livgolf.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.livgolf.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elvis Smylie's recent breakout victory on LIV debut and strong early-season results have elevated his implied probability in this large-field, no-cut stroke-play event at Trump National Bedminster, while Phil Mickelson's extensive course familiarity and past major pedigree keep him closely bunched despite limited 2026 appearances. Joaquin Niemann and Cameron Smith benefit from consistent recent form and prior Bedminster success, respectively, amid a deep roster where home-course advantages, rest factors, and variable weather can shift outcomes. The tight clustering around the top group reflects the league's overall parity, with multiple players posting comparable scoring averages on similar layouts and no single dominant recent trend separating the frontrunners ahead of the August 6-9 start.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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