Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical late-August conditions in Jinan, with overnight lows centered near 24°C driven by warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 22°C or higher and 12°C or below reflects trader assessment of residual uncertainty in steering patterns and potential for a transient frontal passage or increased cloud cover to modestly suppress minimum temperatures, though climatological baselines and recent observations show no supporting evidence for drops below 20°C. Key resolution factors include official 24-hour minimum readings at Jinan stations, with any model divergence likely resolved by updated runs ahead of the 24th.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 24 agosto?
12°C o inferiore 60%
19°C 52%
20°C 52%
21°C 52%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
60%
13°C
47%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
47%
17°C
47%
18°C
47%
19°C
52%
20°C
52%
21°C
52%
22°C o superiore
55%
12°C o inferiore 60%
19°C 52%
20°C 52%
21°C 52%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
60%
13°C
$10 Vol.
47%
14°C
$10 Vol.
47%
15°C
$10 Vol.
47%
16°C
$10 Vol.
47%
17°C
$10 Vol.
47%
18°C
$10 Vol.
47%
19°C
$10 Vol.
52%
20°C
$10 Vol.
52%
21°C
$10 Vol.
52%
22°C o superiore
$80 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical late-August conditions in Jinan, with overnight lows centered near 24°C driven by warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 22°C or higher and 12°C or below reflects trader assessment of residual uncertainty in steering patterns and potential for a transient frontal passage or increased cloud cover to modestly suppress minimum temperatures, though climatological baselines and recent observations show no supporting evidence for drops below 20°C. Key resolution factors include official 24-hour minimum readings at Jinan stations, with any model divergence likely resolved by updated runs ahead of the 24th.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$180Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical late-August conditions in Jinan, with overnight lows centered near 24°C driven by warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 22°C or higher and 12°C or below reflects trader assessment of residual uncertainty in steering patterns and potential for a transient frontal passage or increased cloud cover to modestly suppress minimum temperatures, though climatological baselines and recent observations show no supporting evidence for drops below 20°C. Key resolution factors include official 24-hour minimum readings at Jinan stations, with any model divergence likely resolved by updated runs ahead of the 24th.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$180Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical late-August conditions in Jinan, with overnight lows centered near 24°C driven by warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 22°C or higher and 12°C or below reflects trader assessment of residual uncertainty in steering patterns and potential for a transient frontal passage or increased cloud cover to modestly suppress minimum temperatures, though climatological baselines and recent observations show no supporting evidence for drops below 20°C. Key resolution factors include official 24-hour minimum readings at Jinan stations, with any model divergence likely resolved by updated runs ahead of the 24th.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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