Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 18 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 18 giugno?
17°C 100.0%
12°C o inferiore <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$41,887 Vol.
$41,887 Vol.
18 giu 2026
12°C o inferiore
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Sì
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C o superiore
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C o inferiore <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$41,887 Vol.
$41,887 Vol.
18 giu 2026
12°C o inferiore
$500 Vol.
No
13°C
$714 Vol.
No
14°C
$685 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,967 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,450 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,751 Vol.
Sì
18°C
$14,507 Vol.
No
19°C
$853 Vol.
No
20°C
$13,750 Vol.
No
21°C
$510 Vol.
No
22°C o superiore
$200 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$41,887Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,887Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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