Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 17 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di Miami il 17 luglio?
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F o inferiore <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$18,252 Vol.
$18,252 Vol.
17 lug 2026
71°F o inferiore
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Sì
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F o superiore
No
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F o inferiore <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$18,252 Vol.
$18,252 Vol.
17 lug 2026
71°F o inferiore
$4,238 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,559 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,473 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$2,266 Vol.
Sì
78-79°F
$1,051 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,192 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$924 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$438 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$410 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$430 Vol.
No
90°F o superiore
$272 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$18,252Data di fine
17 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,252Data di fine
17 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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