Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 22 points to an overnight low near 80–82°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and minimal frontal influence, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 82–83°F bin at 41%. Subtropical June climatology features average daily minima around 76–78°F, yet persistent high pressure and elevated Gulf moisture have supported recent observed lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Ensemble model consensus shows limited overnight cooling potential before dawn, with only modest thunderstorm chances that could locally suppress temperatures into the high 70s. Traders appear to be pricing in this warm baseline rather than rarer cooler anomalies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 22 giugno?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F o meno <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$14,520 Vol.
$14,520 Vol.
71°F o meno
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Sì
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F o superiore
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F o meno <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$14,520 Vol.
$14,520 Vol.
71°F o meno
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Sì
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 22 points to an overnight low near 80–82°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and minimal frontal influence, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 82–83°F bin at 41%. Subtropical June climatology features average daily minima around 76–78°F, yet persistent high pressure and elevated Gulf moisture have supported recent observed lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Ensemble model consensus shows limited overnight cooling potential before dawn, with only modest thunderstorm chances that could locally suppress temperatures into the high 70s. Traders appear to be pricing in this warm baseline rather than rarer cooler anomalies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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