Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 22 aprile?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 22 aprile?
46-47°F 100.0%
37°F o inferiore <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$95,167 Vol.
$95,167 Vol.
22 apr 2026
37°F o inferiore
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
Sì
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F o superiore
No
46-47°F 100.0%
37°F o inferiore <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$95,167 Vol.
$95,167 Vol.
22 apr 2026
37°F o inferiore
$1,694 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$10,470 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$2,260 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$4,946 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$8,762 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$14,971 Vol.
Sì
48-49°F
$5,446 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$8,646 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$23,490 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$6,393 Vol.
No
56°F o superiore
$8,088 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$95,167Data di fine
22 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$95,167Data di fine
22 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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