Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 4 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 4 maggio?
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F o inferiore <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$47,808 Vol.
$47,808 Vol.
4 mag 2026
43°F o inferiore
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Sì
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F o superiore
No
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F o inferiore <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$47,808 Vol.
$47,808 Vol.
4 mag 2026
43°F o inferiore
$8,008 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$2,377 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$3,629 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$3,079 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,858 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$17,360 Vol.
Sì
54-55°F
$2,162 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,660 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$936 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$629 Vol.
No
62°F o superiore
$5,111 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$47,808Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$47,808Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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